Mexico’s national football team finds itself at a crossroads, having once again exited a major tournament at the group stage. In the 2022 World Cup, Mexico’s performance drew criticism as they failed to progress beyond the initial rounds. This pattern of underwhelming results continued in other competitions, including two lackluster outings in the Concacaf Nations League over the past 18 months. However, a glimmer of hope appeared with Jaime Lozano, who started as an interim coach and later secured the full-time position by leading Mexico to victory in the Concacaf Gold Cup.
In a recent vital encounter at the Copa America, Mexico needed a win against Ecuador to secure a place in the quarterfinals. Despite dominating possession and creating numerous chances, Mexico fell short in their decisive match. Controlling nearly 60% of the ball and outshooting Ecuador 19-9, the team struggled to convert their opportunities. Notably, it took them 13 shots before managing their first shot on target in the 65th minute. This inefficiency in front of goal was starkly reflected in their expected goals tally of just 0.86 for the match, leading to a disappointing 1-0 defeat and sealing their exit from the tournament.
Throughout their three games in the Copa America group stage, Mexico struggled offensively, scoring only one goal. Yet, their expected goals over these matches summed up to 4.71, indicating a significant shortfall in finishing. On the defensive front, the team conceded just one goal, suggesting that while their backline remained solid, the attack needed more incisiveness. Adding to the offensive woes, no player on the current squad has more than 13 international goals, highlighting the need for a dependable scoring presence.
One of the bright spots has been Santiago Gimenez. The Feyenoord striker enjoyed a stellar season in Europe, netting 26 goals and providing eight assists. However, this form has not yet translated to the national team, where Gimenez has managed just four goals in 30 appearances. His transition from club to country remains a key area that coach Lozano will need to address if Mexico is to improve its offensive output.
With the World Cup set to be hosted by Mexico in two years, the heat is on for Lozano and his squad to turn things around. Fan expectations are soaring, and the scrutiny on the team’s performance is intensifying. The blend of tactical adjustments, player form, and psychological readiness will be crucial as Mexico aims to break free from its recent run of group stage exits and make a deep run on home soil.